Cold Comfort for Utilities
"I do not ask much. I beg cold comfort."
- Shakespeare: King John VTo
err is human, but to blame it on someone else is even more human.
- Murphy's Laws
While no one has great data on Denver air conditioning
installations, word has it that builders install refrigerated air in about 15
percent of new homes-less in entry-level housing, more in move-up homes. Yet
four years after move-in, more than 50 percent of homeowners are equipped with
AC.
Why the big differential'? Well, homebuyers have learned that production
builders tend to price AC higher than the after-market installers, so builders
don't profit from selling and installing AC. But they also don't get the
headaches, either.
The Fort Collins Housing Performance Study (long overdue; will be in print
this September) illustrates that residential air conditioners indeed have their
headaches (see "A 'No-Cooling' Package," the December 2000 issue). The quick
solution seems easy: install a unit that's larger than it needs to be. As one
installer put it, "I've never been sued for putting in too large a unit." But
the quick solution is causing a plethora of problems. Consumers pay more now for
the installations. Eventually, they are likely to pay a lot more to operate
them. It's time for a change here.
Oversizing mania
More than 65 houses in the Fort Collins study were equipped with AC.
Equipment-sizing calculations were subsequently performed by the utility on
those homes. Whereas ASHRAE engineering guidelines indicate that AC equipment
should be sized to meet 115 percent of the cooling load at the design cooling
temperature (91 degrees F in Fort Collins), the actual units were sized at an
average of 208 percent of the cooling load. That's nearly twice what should have
been required.
Here's the short list of what happens when you oversize equipment. First, you
typically have to oversize the furnace, too, in order to handle the higher
airflow level required for the AC; often, the after-market contractor comes up
short here. Second, the equipment tends to short-cycle, which provides less
comfort, less dehumidification during the dog days of July, and can lead to
higher cooling bills. Third, the equipment may not last as long. Fourth, the
client pays an extra $300 to $500 for the installation. Finally, the utility is
put in a bind.
Why is oversizing so commonplace'? Three reasons: 1) almost no one is
performing equipment-sizing calculations; 2) almost no one is carefully
designing ductwork to deliver cooling to the second floor in taller homes; and
3) most ductwork is phenomenally leaky. In fact, we have the leakiest ductwork
in the nation. Given this situation, adding an extra ton or two is the round peg
that is forced into the square hole.
The leaky ductwork item is a killer. If leaky ducts can't deliver enough air
during the heating season, you can often live with the result because warm air
rises. But during the summer, the result is a freeze-fry Goldilocks house: 78
degrees F upstairs, 73 degrees F on the main floor and about 60 degrees in the
basement (cool air sinks).
The utility bind
Oversized residential AC equipment is also a utility killer in Colorado. In
many homes, AC doesn't operate very often just a few weeks of the summer. But it
is always turned on during the hottest stretches. More than in most parts of the
country, that means utilities have to expand their power plant capacity just to
meet a sharp spike in customer demand. That's like having to keep a Ferrari in
the garage for a once-a-week trip to the grocery store; it's an awfully
expensive way to get the job done.
Instead of building the new plants themselves, utilities can let independent
power producers build those new plants. Then the local utilities buy that new
power on the open market. But that power is always most expensive during the
hottest summer days.
Either way, many Colorado utilities probably lose money when their
residential customers turn on their air conditioners. In one utility's
jurisdiction, last summer it cost $160 to supply power to the average
residential AC customer, while the current rate structure only brought in $60 of
revenue from that average AC customer.
Utility options
In the long term, utilities nationwide will have to change the way they bill
their residential customers. Those customers who use the most power at periods
of peak demand must eventually pay a higher rate. (Customers with oversized AC
will pay even more.) To do this, utilities will need to install new meters that
measure when and at what rate electricity is consumed, not just how much is
consumed. Such an effort will cost hundreds of millions of dollars in Colorado
alone. It is already starting in California markets.
In the mid term, utilities need to send a signal to builders to change
several key construction practices in the residential sector. Such changes,
described below, could prevent utilities from having to build so many power
plants. To get those changes, utilities will probably have to pay builders some
incentive money, at least for a year or so. In the short term, Xcel Energy is
already offering two incentives. First, they are providing rebates to customers
who buy higher efficiency AC equipment (12 SEER vs. the conventional 10 SEER).
This is a very incomplete approach. Second, Xcel and a few others are planning
to pay residential customers $25 for the right to slightly control when their AC
units can turn on (15 minutes on, then 15 minutes off). This is a band-aid with
its own share of equity problems.
Four keys
What should Colorado builders do to improve AC performance and how should
Colorado utilities help?
First, they should reward builders who reduce future cooling requirements
within each new building shell. Since windows let in half a home's summertime
heat gains, focus on windows by paying builders a small sum to upgrade with
low-e models. Limit the incentive to windows that let in only about half as much
summertime solar gains as the average window. That means picking windows with a
solar heat gain coefficient (SHGC) of 35 percent or less, compared to 65 percent
or so for the normal double-glazed window.
Second, toss out the age-old "rules of thumb" for sizing equipment and
ductwork. Require a design layout and cooling load calculation for every new
home-even for those homes sold initially without AC. And as Hank Rutkowski has
repeatedly stated (see "The guy who wrote the sizing book," October 2000 issue),
those calculations should be performed using accurate design temperatures and
"aggressive assumptions." It takes less than an hour to perform sizing
calculations for both the equipment and the ductwork itself ... for homeowners
who will live with the consequences for decades. For a production builder,
changing any particular model to reflect a different orientation to the sun
takes just minutes.
Third, give incentives to builders who have their installers seal their
ductwork with mastic, caulk or aeroseal (not "temporary tape"). When all the
supply and return-air grilles are sealed off, 70 percent to 80 percent of the
HVAC equipment's normal airflow can leak out of the average Colorado home's
ductwork today. The new national standard is no more than 10 percent leakage,
meaning our average ductwork is about seven times leakier than it should be.
Early results from the field indicate that the best way to achieve this is to
totally eliminate use of building cavities as return-air chases.
Fourth, whenever residential AC is installed, provide incentives for builders
to "commission" their systems. A commissioned AC system is one that has been
tested for airflow and refrigerant charge. Right now, no one is checking.
Studies from California show that AC units with insufficient airflow and the
wrong refrigerant charge can experience a major loss in performance.
Since Xcel is currently devoting several million dollars to reduce
residential air conditioning loads, the above suggestions aren't pure fantasy.
Xcel could put a time limit on the incentives they offer builders to "do it
right the first time." But even if utilities don't directly support the above
efforts, builders should consider heading in that direction anyway, and sooner
rather than later.
Steve Andrews consults with builders for E-Star
Colorado and writes on energy issues (sbandrews@att.net).
E-Star (www.e-star.com),
is a nonprofit home energy rating system that works with both new and
existing homes statewide.
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